New link for my BLOG.

http://taivotipster.blogabet.com/

 link to my Blogabet profile. It is easier to comunicate and very flexible.

Good luck to all and let smash the bookies!

Preview APFG - 20 Round - 04.12.2013

 

Gotse Delchev - Slavia Sofia - X - 4.00 - 2/10 - SBOBet - Odds for away win are dropping very fast due to the nice record of Slavia against Pirin GD with 3 wins from 3 matches. Pirin is in big financial crysis and the players are thinking about leaving the team soon, due to unpaid salaries. There are no official sponosor of the team and now the municipality og Gotse Delchev is financing the club. However the owners of Pirin GD told that they will finance the club until the 6-th of January 2014 and will pay all the salaries for 2013. The players play for their future and will try to achieve good future. Slavia lose last match against Botev and the fans are angry again, now they will try to win here, but the odds are really low for such a team in away match.

 

Ludogorets - Cherno More - 1 - -1.5 AH - 1.83 - ComeOn - 6/10 - Different class, Cherno More are playing very good, but only in home matches. One of the three loses this season for Ludogorets was against Cherno More and now the team will be glad to revenge for that.

 

Neftochimic - Beroe - Under 2.5 goals - 1.80 - Bet365 - 5/10 - Beroe always played focused in defense in their away games, and Neftochimic is not such a big team. I expect tight game with a most probable final result 0/1 : 1

 

Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Pld - SKIP

Preview APFG - 19 Round - Sunday Matches - 01.12.2013

 

Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv - Over 2.5 goals - 4/10 - 2.40 - Bet365 - I expect very entertainment game here. Botev Plovdiv are without a win on the road from 18 August, which is too bad statistic for a team who have ambitious for the title. They were playing the best football in Bulgaria in the begining of the season, but now play this way only at home games. Botev are missing due to injuries Todor Nedelev and Artur Henrique. Suspended are Sprokel and Irsak. This means 2 key players and 1 regular player will miss the match. Despite of the team have a big potential in attack. Ognyanov is back in the squad, and for the home team their goalkeeper G. Petkov is missing the match. Their defense will be shaky with 2 young players - Genev and Velkov.

Expected Lineups:

Slavia - Petrov, R. Dimitrov, Genev, Velkov, Atanasov, Shalaev, Baning, G. Ivanov, Yankov, Da Silva, Kurdov

Botev - Strahoviak, Hristov, Gruncharov, Djnici, Minev, Sarmov, Galchev, Vieira, Anise, Kortzorg, Tsvetkov

Beroe - Ludogorets - SKIP - There is no value for Away win or Under 2.5 goals here, so skip. Ludogorets are the best team in Bulgaria and Beroe are good team at their home.

Preview A PFG - 19 round - 30.11.2013 - Saturday Matches

Cherno More - Levski Sofia - under 2.5 goals - 1.77 - 7/10 - Unibet, 888Bet. It is freezing today in Bulgaria and Varna is a windy city. Stadium "Ticha" is very hard ground for visiting and Cherno More have a nice results this season here (6 wins and 3 draws from 9 matches) including win against the best team in Bulgaria - Ludogorets and the other biggest team except Levski - CSKA Sofia. Many of the specialist except very tight game with a low number of goals. The teams are playing football, based mainly in set-pieces and the defence of the home team looks very good. Levski captain Vladimir Gadjev is missing this match and top striker Tsvetan Genkov could be on the bench. Simeon Raykov and Georgi Bojilov are doubtful for the home team, Daniel Georgiev will also not start the match. Expected lineups:

Cherno More - Kitanov, Sasho, Alexandrov, Venkov, Kotev, Palankov, Edenilson, Raykov, Iliev, Kokonov, Bacari (6 goals)

Levski Sofia - Iliev, Mulder, Dimov, Angelov, Pinto, Starokin, Brue, L. Toure, M. Ivanov, Rodrigues (top player of the championship), Makriev.

Value here is in under 2.5 goals, both of the teams will be very cautious and expect maximum 2 goals.
Expected result - Cherno More - Levski - 0/1 : 1

Lyubimets - Litex Lovech - over 2.5 goals - 1.65 - 6/10 - Bet365. The problems of the home side are going to be bigger and bigger and now it is not sure that they will finish the championship. After the great start of the campaign the new-promoted side of Lyubimets is now facing a battle of the relegation. They losed last week from the other of the team with a big financial problems Pirin GD with a smashing result of 5 : 2. Now there is nothing new in the team and after 4 players resigned last week, now the group will be filled with young players under 19 years. Value on the away side is dropping so fast and now the only value is in over 2.5 goals. Litex players provide interest in teams from Italian Serie A, as Roma, Chievo and Verona are reported interest in their best player this season - Simeon Slavchev. He will try to lead the team in this match and continue after their bad defeat last round against Levski.

Value is in over 2.5 goals, Expected result - Lyubimets - Litex Lovech - 1 : 3

 

CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia - under 1 goals in first Half Time - 1.85 - 6/10 - Paddy Power -  I expect maximum of 1 goals here in the half time and most expected is 0 : 0 at the half time and afterthat CSKA will resist the power of Lokomotiv. New financial problems for the home side as they should pay 90 000 + euro to the football manager Mariano Bizari or will lose points. Every season CSKA have ambitions and expectations from fans to use their young talents but now average age of the team is over 29 years and the selection of the team is from over 10 players, very strange for the team with so much financial problems. Expected Lineups:

CSKA - Cherni, Popov, Iliev, Mendy, Fau-Poret, Ianchev, Chochev, Milisavlevic, Gargorov, Marcinho, M. Petrov

Loko Sofia - Galev, Dyulgerov, Jovanovich, Branekov, Elton, Mahamat, Tom, Gael, Marquinhos(top goalscorer), Pisarov, Bazea

I see value in X/1 - HT/FT here - maybe goalless draw in the half time and 2 : 0 clean win for CSKA. Odds are around 4.00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftochimic - AH +2.5 Neftochimic - 6/10 - 1.75 MarathonBet. Lokomotiv Plovdiv looks a little bit overrated for me here. They played very very bad last round against Ludogorets and were smashed. Neftochimic showed some good attacks against CSKA at Sliven and now will try to build on this performance. Yes, it is expected to lose here, but the asian handicap looks too big for me. The miss of Dakson is too big for the Lokomotiv and Zdravko Lazarov is over 35 years old. Neftochimic have a number of young players who are not playing too bad lately.

Expected result - Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftochimic - 2 : 1

 

Chernomorets Burgas - Pirin GD - skip. Both teams with enormous problems mainly in the financial aspect. Pirin GD were famous with their FIXED matches for last season, but it was with their last owners. Now the team is financed from the municipality of Goche Delchev and a number of sponsors are out.

Preview A PFG - 18 round - Sunday Match

 

Botev Plovdiv - Chernomorets Burgas - SKIP -  Personally don`t see any valueodds in this match. Botev Plovdiv are in something like crysis right now, but it is mainly when they are on road. They do not have any problems in their home matches and have 7 wins from 8 matches, the lose was very strange and have a number of speculation that it was fixed match. Botev Plovdiv owner is the most richest person in Bulgaria - Tsvetan Vasilev, who was announced from "Forbes Bulgaria". Chernomorets Burgas also didn`t play good enough for their standarts and in will be a really tough season for them. Botev Plovdiv are missing two key players in face of Todor Nedelev and Mariyan Ognyanov.

Expected line-ups:

Botev - Strahovyak, Hristov, Sprokel, Minev, Artur, Irshak, Sarmov, Romario, Anise, Vander, Tsvetkov

Chernomorets - Georgiev, Stoyanov, Kavdanski, Tr. Trayanov, Filipov, Pavlov, Baltanov, V. Trayanov, Manzoro, Amari, Atanasov

The value here is in a correct score 1 : 0 in HT for 2.75, but I would take small bet here 2/10.

Preview A PFG - 18 round - Saturday Matches

 

Pirin GD - Lyubimets - 1 - 2.10 - 6/10 - MarathonBet - A number of problems in both of the teams. The financial situation is really bad and it is not sure their participation in the league until the end of the season. Lyubimets resign contracts with 4 players from the first team due to unpaid salaries for 3 months - Ilia Munin, Yanko Angelov, Samir Aias and Tanko Dyakov. Almost the whole team who promote the team from B group last season is not in the team right now. Earlier this season another 6 players contracts were resigned and the team is now full with young players from academy without experience. Gotse Delchev have 2 doubtfull players for this match - Abdi Abdikov (GK) and Martin Gaziev (M), while Mario Bliznakov will be in the lineup. Vasil Panayotov is suspended. I see big battle and ugly match here, but Pirin could make their second win for the season.

Cherno More - Beroe - skip - I see under 2.5 goals here but the odds are really low and there is no value. Two defensive-orientated teams are playing and I see match with 2 goals maximum. 0 : 0 at the half time looks good here for around 2.30. Ofcourse one mistake could kill this bet, but the odds for under 1 are really low too.

 

Ludogorets - Lokomotiv Pld - over 2.5 goals - 5/10 - 2.00 - Bet365 - Ludogorets is the best team in the championship no doubt. Now they are facing Loko Pld who are playing atractive football and the value here is in over. If the away team scores one goal it could be very easy. Ludogorets qualify for the next round of the Europa League after amazing performance untill the moment, but their attention is still there. Next week Dutch grand PSV is coming in Bulgaria and this is the main topic, because this is very ambitious project and Ludogorets need to make points for the next season in Champions League. Valter Misidjan was valued 3 mln. euro from the owner of the club to decrease the interest in him. The captaion of Ludogorets - Svetoslav Dyakov(DM) is injured, while one of the best players Martin Kamburov (ST, Loko Pd) hasn`t  scored in last 4 games and could be back on track here.

Levski - Litex - 1 - 2.30 - Marathon Bet - preview

Levski Sofia - Litex Lovech - 1 - 2.30 - MarathonBet - 8/10

Levski Sofia are hosting Litex Lovech in searching of a 4-th consecutive win in this derby. Derby from last 15 years, when Litex were pumped in with money. Now the situation is a little bit different and the "oranges" from Lovech are relying to their youth academy and their squad is full with young players, who are playing very good football. I don`t remember worse results at "Georgi Asparuhov" stadium for Levski in the near 15 years, but now everything in the club is ready to reply. The hot prospect of Levski, Antonio Vutov is back in the group and could play in the second half.

Expected lineups:

Levski - Iliev, Mulder, D. Dimov, Angelov, Pinto, Gadjev, Starokin, Pl. Dimov (Kevin Bru), L. Toure, Rodriguez, Genkov

Litex - Alexandrov, Popov, Bodurov, Bojikov, Nedyalkov, Tsvetkov, Slavchev, Vayushi, Djazula, Tsvetanov, Jordan

Levski are celebrating 100 years in 2014 and they still have chances for the title, because the championship will be divided to two halfs. Nobody really believes that Litex could be title contenders in the end of the season. In 19 matches in Sofia, Levski have 11 wins and just 2 loses.

I really rate the odds for Levski win highly here and except from them to win this match.
Probable results : 2 : 0/1