Saturday, November 30, 2013

Preview A PFG - 19 round - 30.11.2013 - Saturday Matches



Cherno More - Levski Sofia - under 2.5 goals - 1.77 - 7/10 - Unibet, 888Bet. It is freezing today in Bulgaria and Varna is a windy city. Stadium "Ticha" is very hard ground for visiting and Cherno More have a nice results this season here (6 wins and 3 draws from 9 matches) including win against the best team in Bulgaria - Ludogorets and the other biggest team except Levski - CSKA Sofia. Many of the specialist except very tight game with a low number of goals. The teams are playing football, based mainly in set-pieces and the defence of the home team looks very good. Levski captain Vladimir Gadjev is missing this match and top striker Tsvetan Genkov could be on the bench. Simeon Raykov and Georgi Bojilov are doubtful for the home team, Daniel Georgiev will also not start the match. Expected lineups:

Cherno More - Kitanov, Sasho, Alexandrov, Venkov, Kotev, Palankov, Edenilson, Raykov, Iliev, Kokonov, Bacari (6 goals)

Levski Sofia - Iliev, Mulder, Dimov, Angelov, Pinto, Starokin, Brue, L. Toure, M. Ivanov, Rodrigues (top player of the championship), Makriev.

Value here is in under 2.5 goals, both of the teams will be very cautious and expect maximum 2 goals.
Expected result - Cherno More - Levski - 0/1 : 1



Lyubimets - Litex Lovech - over 2.5 goals - 1.65 - 6/10 - Bet365. The problems of the home side are going to be bigger and bigger and now it is not sure that they will finish the championship. After the great start of the campaign the new-promoted side of Lyubimets is now facing a battle of the relegation. They losed last week from the other of the team with a big financial problems Pirin GD with a smashing result of 5 : 2. Now there is nothing new in the team and after 4 players resigned last week, now the group will be filled with young players under 19 years. Value on the away side is dropping so fast and now the only value is in over 2.5 goals. Litex players provide interest in teams from Italian Serie A, as Roma, Chievo and Verona are reported interest in their best player this season - Simeon Slavchev. He will try to lead the team in this match and continue after their bad defeat last round against Levski.

Value is in over 2.5 goals, Expected result - Lyubimets - Litex Lovech - 1 : 3


 

CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia - under 1 goals in first Half Time - 1.85 - 6/10 - Paddy Power -  I expect maximum of 1 goals here in the half time and most expected is 0 : 0 at the half time and afterthat CSKA will resist the power of Lokomotiv. New financial problems for the home side as they should pay 90 000 + euro to the football manager Mariano Bizari or will lose points. Every season CSKA have ambitions and expectations from fans to use their young talents but now average age of the team is over 29 years and the selection of the team is from over 10 players, very strange for the team with so much financial problems. Expected Lineups:

CSKA - Cherni, Popov, Iliev, Mendy, Fau-Poret, Ianchev, Chochev, Milisavlevic, Gargorov, Marcinho, M. Petrov

Loko Sofia - Galev, Dyulgerov, Jovanovich, Branekov, Elton, Mahamat, Tom, Gael, Marquinhos(top goalscorer), Pisarov, Bazea

I see value in X/1 - HT/FT here - maybe goalless draw in the half time and 2 : 0 clean win for CSKA. Odds are around 4.00


Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftochimic - AH +2.5 Neftochimic - 6/10 - 1.75 MarathonBet. Lokomotiv Plovdiv looks a little bit overrated for me here. They played very very bad last round against Ludogorets and were smashed. Neftochimic showed some good attacks against CSKA at Sliven and now will try to build on this performance. Yes, it is expected to lose here, but the asian handicap looks too big for me. The miss of Dakson is too big for the Lokomotiv and Zdravko Lazarov is over 35 years old. Neftochimic have a number of young players who are not playing too bad lately.

Expected result - Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftochimic - 2 : 1

 

Chernomorets Burgas - Pirin GD - skip. Both teams with enormous problems mainly in the financial aspect. Pirin GD were famous with their FIXED matches for last season, but it was with their last owners. Now the team is financed from the municipality of Goche Delchev and a number of sponsors are out.