Preview A PFG - 19 round - 30.11.2013 - Saturday Matches

Cherno More - Levski Sofia - under 2.5 goals - 1.77 - 7/10 - Unibet, 888Bet. It is freezing today in Bulgaria and Varna is a windy city. Stadium "Ticha" is very hard ground for visiting and Cherno More have a nice results this season here (6 wins and 3 draws from 9 matches) including win against the best team in Bulgaria - Ludogorets and the other biggest team except Levski - CSKA Sofia. Many of the specialist except very tight game with a low number of goals. The teams are playing football, based mainly in set-pieces and the defence of the home team looks very good. Levski captain Vladimir Gadjev is missing this match and top striker Tsvetan Genkov could be on the bench. Simeon Raykov and Georgi Bojilov are doubtful for the home team, Daniel Georgiev will also not start the match. Expected lineups:

Cherno More - Kitanov, Sasho, Alexandrov, Venkov, Kotev, Palankov, Edenilson, Raykov, Iliev, Kokonov, Bacari (6 goals)

Levski Sofia - Iliev, Mulder, Dimov, Angelov, Pinto, Starokin, Brue, L. Toure, M. Ivanov, Rodrigues (top player of the championship), Makriev.

Value here is in under 2.5 goals, both of the teams will be very cautious and expect maximum 2 goals.
Expected result - Cherno More - Levski - 0/1 : 1

Lyubimets - Litex Lovech - over 2.5 goals - 1.65 - 6/10 - Bet365. The problems of the home side are going to be bigger and bigger and now it is not sure that they will finish the championship. After the great start of the campaign the new-promoted side of Lyubimets is now facing a battle of the relegation. They losed last week from the other of the team with a big financial problems Pirin GD with a smashing result of 5 : 2. Now there is nothing new in the team and after 4 players resigned last week, now the group will be filled with young players under 19 years. Value on the away side is dropping so fast and now the only value is in over 2.5 goals. Litex players provide interest in teams from Italian Serie A, as Roma, Chievo and Verona are reported interest in their best player this season - Simeon Slavchev. He will try to lead the team in this match and continue after their bad defeat last round against Levski.

Value is in over 2.5 goals, Expected result - Lyubimets - Litex Lovech - 1 : 3

 

CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia - under 1 goals in first Half Time - 1.85 - 6/10 - Paddy Power -  I expect maximum of 1 goals here in the half time and most expected is 0 : 0 at the half time and afterthat CSKA will resist the power of Lokomotiv. New financial problems for the home side as they should pay 90 000 + euro to the football manager Mariano Bizari or will lose points. Every season CSKA have ambitions and expectations from fans to use their young talents but now average age of the team is over 29 years and the selection of the team is from over 10 players, very strange for the team with so much financial problems. Expected Lineups:

CSKA - Cherni, Popov, Iliev, Mendy, Fau-Poret, Ianchev, Chochev, Milisavlevic, Gargorov, Marcinho, M. Petrov

Loko Sofia - Galev, Dyulgerov, Jovanovich, Branekov, Elton, Mahamat, Tom, Gael, Marquinhos(top goalscorer), Pisarov, Bazea

I see value in X/1 - HT/FT here - maybe goalless draw in the half time and 2 : 0 clean win for CSKA. Odds are around 4.00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftochimic - AH +2.5 Neftochimic - 6/10 - 1.75 MarathonBet. Lokomotiv Plovdiv looks a little bit overrated for me here. They played very very bad last round against Ludogorets and were smashed. Neftochimic showed some good attacks against CSKA at Sliven and now will try to build on this performance. Yes, it is expected to lose here, but the asian handicap looks too big for me. The miss of Dakson is too big for the Lokomotiv and Zdravko Lazarov is over 35 years old. Neftochimic have a number of young players who are not playing too bad lately.

Expected result - Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftochimic - 2 : 1

 

Chernomorets Burgas - Pirin GD - skip. Both teams with enormous problems mainly in the financial aspect. Pirin GD were famous with their FIXED matches for last season, but it was with their last owners. Now the team is financed from the municipality of Goche Delchev and a number of sponsors are out.

Preview A PFG - 18 round - Sunday Match

 

Botev Plovdiv - Chernomorets Burgas - SKIP -  Personally don`t see any valueodds in this match. Botev Plovdiv are in something like crysis right now, but it is mainly when they are on road. They do not have any problems in their home matches and have 7 wins from 8 matches, the lose was very strange and have a number of speculation that it was fixed match. Botev Plovdiv owner is the most richest person in Bulgaria - Tsvetan Vasilev, who was announced from "Forbes Bulgaria". Chernomorets Burgas also didn`t play good enough for their standarts and in will be a really tough season for them. Botev Plovdiv are missing two key players in face of Todor Nedelev and Mariyan Ognyanov.

Expected line-ups:

Botev - Strahovyak, Hristov, Sprokel, Minev, Artur, Irshak, Sarmov, Romario, Anise, Vander, Tsvetkov

Chernomorets - Georgiev, Stoyanov, Kavdanski, Tr. Trayanov, Filipov, Pavlov, Baltanov, V. Trayanov, Manzoro, Amari, Atanasov

The value here is in a correct score 1 : 0 in HT for 2.75, but I would take small bet here 2/10.

Preview A PFG - 18 round - Saturday Matches

 

Pirin GD - Lyubimets - 1 - 2.10 - 6/10 - MarathonBet - A number of problems in both of the teams. The financial situation is really bad and it is not sure their participation in the league until the end of the season. Lyubimets resign contracts with 4 players from the first team due to unpaid salaries for 3 months - Ilia Munin, Yanko Angelov, Samir Aias and Tanko Dyakov. Almost the whole team who promote the team from B group last season is not in the team right now. Earlier this season another 6 players contracts were resigned and the team is now full with young players from academy without experience. Gotse Delchev have 2 doubtfull players for this match - Abdi Abdikov (GK) and Martin Gaziev (M), while Mario Bliznakov will be in the lineup. Vasil Panayotov is suspended. I see big battle and ugly match here, but Pirin could make their second win for the season.

Cherno More - Beroe - skip - I see under 2.5 goals here but the odds are really low and there is no value. Two defensive-orientated teams are playing and I see match with 2 goals maximum. 0 : 0 at the half time looks good here for around 2.30. Ofcourse one mistake could kill this bet, but the odds for under 1 are really low too.

 

Ludogorets - Lokomotiv Pld - over 2.5 goals - 5/10 - 2.00 - Bet365 - Ludogorets is the best team in the championship no doubt. Now they are facing Loko Pld who are playing atractive football and the value here is in over. If the away team scores one goal it could be very easy. Ludogorets qualify for the next round of the Europa League after amazing performance untill the moment, but their attention is still there. Next week Dutch grand PSV is coming in Bulgaria and this is the main topic, because this is very ambitious project and Ludogorets need to make points for the next season in Champions League. Valter Misidjan was valued 3 mln. euro from the owner of the club to decrease the interest in him. The captaion of Ludogorets - Svetoslav Dyakov(DM) is injured, while one of the best players Martin Kamburov (ST, Loko Pd) hasn`t  scored in last 4 games and could be back on track here.

Levski - Litex - 1 - 2.30 - Marathon Bet - preview

Levski Sofia - Litex Lovech - 1 - 2.30 - MarathonBet - 8/10

Levski Sofia are hosting Litex Lovech in searching of a 4-th consecutive win in this derby. Derby from last 15 years, when Litex were pumped in with money. Now the situation is a little bit different and the "oranges" from Lovech are relying to their youth academy and their squad is full with young players, who are playing very good football. I don`t remember worse results at "Georgi Asparuhov" stadium for Levski in the near 15 years, but now everything in the club is ready to reply. The hot prospect of Levski, Antonio Vutov is back in the group and could play in the second half.

Expected lineups:

Levski - Iliev, Mulder, D. Dimov, Angelov, Pinto, Gadjev, Starokin, Pl. Dimov (Kevin Bru), L. Toure, Rodriguez, Genkov

Litex - Alexandrov, Popov, Bodurov, Bojikov, Nedyalkov, Tsvetkov, Slavchev, Vayushi, Djazula, Tsvetanov, Jordan

Levski are celebrating 100 years in 2014 and they still have chances for the title, because the championship will be divided to two halfs. Nobody really believes that Litex could be title contenders in the end of the season. In 19 matches in Sofia, Levski have 11 wins and just 2 loses.

I really rate the odds for Levski win highly here and except from them to win this match.
Probable results : 2 : 0/1

 

Lokomotiv Sofia - Slavia Sofia - 2 or 3 goals in the match - 2.00 - 7/10

This is the little derby of Sofia between Lokomotiv and Slavia. They played two times in the last 15 days for the Bulgarian Cup, where Slavia were eliminated after surprisingly loss at "Slavia" stadium. The situation in the team is really intense. Alber Banin (ex PSG player) could sign today for Slavia and play in this match after impress in trainings with the team. There are many news about interests in the hot prospect of the team - 16 years old Stefan Velkov who played matches with Bulgarian Under 21 years national team and looks really good. Juventus, Reading and Inter are among the interest teams.

Probable lineups:

Lokomotiv Sofia - Galev, Dyulgerov, Branekov, Randjelovic, Jovanovic, Mahamat, Marquinhos (top goalscorer of the league, 11 goals), Gael, Tom, Helton, Bazea

Matutu (12 matches,D), Trifonov (13 matches,D), Iliev (13 matches, A) and Bibishkov (11 matches, A) are questioned.

Slavia Sofia - Petkov, Pashov, K. Velkov, St. Velkov, R. Dimitrov, Shalaev, Yankov, Popara, Fernando, G. Ivanov, A. Kurdov (top goalscorer for the team, 8 goals)

Atanasov (15 matches,D) is out of the team due to poor form and 2 errors lead to goals, Genev (11matches,D), Sandanski (10 matches, M) could miss the game or will be out of the first 11.

I see two-edged derby between two teams without enough support of the fans. Today is a working day and playing at 13:30 local time should decrease the attendance and maybe will be around 500 people.

I also see value in draw in this match for about 3.50 (2/10)

Seoul - Jeonbuk - 1 - 2.30 - 4/10 - Bet365

I see big value in home win here. Seoul played Asian Champions League final and this is the main reason to be out of Top 3. Jeonbuk is sure for the champions league spot afterward Pohang won the cup and the 4th place team will secure a ticket for the Asian CL. A number of key players are missing the game for the away side and Seoul will use this. This is the list for the away team missing players: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors : Eun-Seong Choi(GK/27app, cpt), Jae-Myung Lee(DF/19app) - Gyu-Ro Lee(DF/12app) - Young-Jin Kwon(DF/1app) - Ki-Hee Kim(DF/15app), Hyuk Jung(MF/25app, 1g), Sung-Min Ha(MF/No app), Young-Woo Kim(MF/No app), Se-Jik Park(MF/7app) - Shin-Young Kim(FW/13app, 1g), Je-Heon Song(FW/12app, 1g). Maybe some of them will take minutes but the odds look great right now.

Seoul - Jenobuk - 4 : 1 - WIN

Egypt - Ghana - 1 - 2.25 - 3/10 - Bwin

Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin - 1 and Over 2.5 goals - 5/10 - 3.20 - Bet365

Hoffenheim are famous with their high scoirng games. There have been 19 overs in a row for them. Kevin Volland is now back in track and Hofe are ready to continue their progress. They are playing wonderful this season and only lack of luck and inexperienced staff is the reason not to be in the top 6.
Hertha Berlin failed to win thei last 8 away matches in Bundesliga. Their young talent Alexander Baumjohan is injured for this match.

Schalke - Werder - 1 and Under 2.5 goals - 4.75 - Bet365 - 3/10

I see super value in this odds. Schalke are without Farfan and Huntelaar but have enough quality to overrun Werder in face of Szalai, Meyer and Boateng. They have 5 win and draw in last 6 matches against Bremen.

Bremen are missing their main striker Nils Petersen and key midfielder Philip Bagfrede, who is long term injured.

VFR Aalen - Fortuna Dusseldorf - 2 - AH 0 - 2.10 - 8/10 - 12Bet

VFR Aalen are team which had expectations to be in the relegation battle and could be there in the final of the season. They lost Kister, Dausch, Shultz and Haller in the summer and now are trying to establish a new team for the 2nd Bundesliga. The new bought players are from 3rd Bundesliga and Oberligas. They had serious financial problems and are one of the teams who was not clear till tthe end if they got a license. Reichwein is missing the game for the home team. They are 3rd worst team in 2nd Bundesliga for their home games.
Fortuna Dusseldorf relegated from 1st Bundesliga after great start of the season and now are facing problems in the 2nd Bundesliga. Fortuna have just one win in their away matches for the season and this is not expected from team with so serious financial status and players. They hold their best players from the last season and have a plenty young talents. They made some amazing performance in 1st Bundesliga and the value in this odd looks really nice. I see their second win in a row in away matches here. They believe in Michael Buskens who can repeat the road of Greuther Furth to 1st Bundesliga.