Thursday, August 29, 2013

Petroul - Swansea - Under 2.5 goals - 7/10 - 2.04 - Marathon Bet

Petrolul were heavily defeated in Wales and they are out of the League Europe in my eyes. Their fans were extremely bored with the result at Liberty Stadium and the chances now are just theoric. Petrolul will be without their best striker Grozlav (scored 6 goals in 5 matches in League Europe this season). Marinescu and Yamizzi are regular first team players and also will miss this match. This is their first season in Europe after 18 years, but I don`t believe the ambition will be enough for many goals.
Swansea are team which loves to control the ball and showed nice football last season. Michael Laudrup is young manager with great attitude and skills. They won 4 : 0 against Malmo in the previous round and made goalless draw when they were visiting in Malmo. This match could repeat the previous round and the rotation of some key players will allow Swansea to controll the ball and close the match.Wilfired Bony and Nathan Dyer will miss this match for away team, who are 2 ot fhe most sharpest players.
LOSS - Petrolul - Swansea - 2 : 1

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Kawasaki Frontale - Omiya Ardija - 1 - (AH -0.5) - 8/10 - 2.05 - Pinnacle Sports

Kawasaki is the most attractive and aggresive team in the Japan J League. They are great side, but the problems in the defense are serious. I believe their attack power will help them to win this and there is no vaue to bet over, because the odds for this match are too low. Kobayashi, Retinho and their star Okubo (17 goals) will be online for this match and I believe they will score. Their manager Yahiro Kazama already is famous with his attractive style. Kawasaki have just 1 loss this season at Todoroki Athletics Stadium and they will be highly motivated to secure new win.
Omiya Ardija is one of the smallest team in Japan J League. They started the season wonderfull and was a leaders for a long period of time, but everything came to its place and after 7 losses in a row, now they are out of Asian Champions League places. They have just 5 wins in last 21 matches against Kawasaki and lose one month ago at their home ground. Ueda and Shimonira are doubtful for the away side.

WIN - Kawasaki Frontale - Omiya Ardija - 2 : 1

Monday, August 26, 2013

PortoB - Penafiel - 1 - 2.00 - 9/10 - NordicBet

Usually I post maximum one match per day, but now I saw nice offer lately and will try to earn some cash. PortoB started this season wonderful with 3 wins from 3 matches, 2 of them were candidates for promotions. Now for the first team will play some of their star arrivals this season - Hector Herrera 23 years old National Mexican player (8 mln euro) and Diego Reyes 22 years old National Mexican playe, who was bought for around 10 millions, experienced backs Fucile and Ze Antonio will be also in the group for this match. And this is not everything - young wilver Kelvin and ex Estoril star Carlos Eduardo will also play for the home team in this game.
Penafiel also started the campaign wonderfull but now they are unlucky to face so strong side of PortoB. The oddsdirection for the match is going down very fast and they miss Mbala. Penafiel finished 9-th last season, but they are small team for the standards of Primeira League and I do not see them as major contendeters for the title in the presence of Moreirense, Leixoes, e.t.c.
LOSS - Porto B - Penafiel - 0 : 0

Inter Turku - Jaro - 1 - 7/10 - 2.25 - Coral

Inter Turku are playing out of their standards this season and they are involved in relegation battle. They were eliminated from Vikingur (team from Faroe Islands) in League Europe and their season is totally colapsed. Now "Black and Blues" need to make first win from 6 matches and have a nice chance. The bookmakers odds are reduced with about 15-20 % percent based on the team positions and form. In last decade Inter have 14 wins and Jaro just 3.
The away team is in good shape without a lose in 7 matches, but now will face highy motivated team, who is facing relegation battle if don`t win this game. They lost their last 6 matches and draw 1 at Veritas Stadium in Turku. Also have just 2 wins this season when they played away. Jori Kujala, Igor Jovanovic, Hugo Miranda, Johan Brunell, Simon Skrabb and Alexander Tumasyan are missing the match for them and Wargh is doubtful.
WIN - Inter Turku - Jaro - 1 : 0

Friday, August 23, 2013

Metz - Niort - 1 - 6/10 - 2.25 - William Hill, 12BET, 188BET

I see big value in this home win for Metz. Stade Municipal is famous with his hot fans and they will try to help Les Grenats secure their 3 win in a row at home. Metz is traditional team for the French League I, but serious crisis hit them lately and they were fallen to Championnat National, but make instant impact and return to League II fast. Now they need this season to secure their mid-table place in the league. In the last three matches at Metz the home team have 2 wins and a draw.
Niort is one of the candidate for the relegation and a small team without any serious success. They started the season with 3 draws, but now have a number of missing players - Glombard, Houla and Lafourcade (two of them regular first players) and I believe it will be hard for them at this inhospitable stadium. Last season they finished just 2 points above the relegation zone and had just 3 wins as visitors.
LOSS - Metz - Niort - 1 : 1

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Consadole Sapporo - FC Ehime - 1 - 9/10 - 2.05 - Pinnacle Sports

Consodale Sapporo relegate from J League last season and now try to return as soon as possible. Conso are playing wonderful at home and have five wins in a row with a very good goal difference. Sapporo is one of the biggest pride of the Hokkaido island and will try to do everything to win this match. The home team have a big fan base and have more then 12 000 spectators obviously. The team have a number of experienced players - Uchimura, Sunakawa and Sugiyama.
Ehime is smaller team, but in good form mainly at home. Their star midfielder Kawahara is doubtfull for this game and they are one of the worst team when playing away. Ehime have just two wins and 8 loses from 12 matches. Just 7 goals scored from the team.

WIN - Consodale Sapporo - FC Ehime - 3 : 0

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

PSV - Milan - 2 DNB - 1.96 - 9/10 - Pinnacle Sports

AC Milan are facing PSV in a big battle for a place in the Champions League group stage. PSV have already got 3 Eredivisie games under their belt and might therefore be the faster starters here, and even more so given that they have won each game so far, scoring 11 goals and conceded 2, but this is another story. Their team is too young for this type of matches and it will be very hard for them to compete against experienced opponents like Milan.
Milan will be without Robinho (this is not a big lose) and Pazzini in this match, but Balotelli, Shaarawy and Boateng have the class to upstage PSV. New signing Andrea Polli could make his debut in the midfield probably as subtstitution. The midfield players may be will be De Jong, Montolivo and Muntari, which means experienced midfielders again Maher, Wijnaldum and Hijemakr (average 20 years old). I believe Milan will qualify for the group stage after excellent finish of the season.
VOID - PSV - Milan - 1 : 1 

Thursday, August 15, 2013

Sao Paulo - Atletico-PR - 1 - 7/10 - 2.10 - SportingBet

Sao Paulo are in big crisis and now need this win. They were among title contenders before the championship start and surprised everything with this wretched form lately. Sao Paulo are undefeated in 12 home matches against Atletico Paranaense in all competitions. They also score at least 2 goals in 5 of last 6 matches against Para. I believe the presence of Luis Fabiano, Rafael Toloi, Jadson and Rogerio Ceni will help the home team to secure the win. The new boss Paulo Autouri is searching his first win at Morumbi.
Atletico PR are sevent and one of the pleasant surprises of the season. They are 6 match without a lose. Now they are visiting a big team in crisis and will be without injured Furlan and Coutinho. Zezinho misses out after picking up his third yellow card for the season against Internacional.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Hafnarfjordur - Breidablik - 1 - (-1AH) - 7/10 - 2.33 - Pinnacle Sports

Hafnarfjordur are the best team in Iceland in the last decade and champions for last season. Now they are playing at home against Breidablik against whom they have 6 wins in a row! They are playing wonderful at Kaplakriki stadium with just one lose against title contenders Reykjavik. FH-Ingar played some excellent games in Europe and the fortune turned away from them against Austria Wien. All of their key players are in for this game and will try to secure a good win.
Breidablik is in excellent form too, but they played 120 minutes at Thursday against Aktobe, while they lose this match with penalties and now the morale in the team isn`t fairly good. They are playing good in Pepsideild lately but they didn`t played against strong opponents. Hafnar is bigger team and I hope that they will win with more than 1 goal and keep Breidablik out of the title contenders.

Friday, August 9, 2013

Wisla - Jagiellonia - 1 - 6/10 - 2/15 - SportingBet

Wisla are hosting Jagiellonia in the 4-th round of Polish Extraklasa. The "White Star" is one of the biggest teams in Poland among Gornik, Ruch and Legia while the away team haven`t got serious achievments in the past. Wisla have 5 win and 1 draw in last 6 matches against Jagiellonia at Stadium Miejski. Wisla Krakow supporters are known as some of the most renowned and passionate fans in Poland, if not in Europe.
Jagiellonia will be without Dzalamidze (attacking midfielder) and one of their key players Dani Quintana (spanish winger). South Korean Kin Min-Kyun was released from the club. The only one missing player for Wisla Krakow is Cezary Vilk. The home team will try to do everything this season to not miss qualifing for Europe this season and need to win this home matches. They started with 5 points  from first 9 matches and will try to continue their streak without lose. Jagiellonia also started excellent, but now will face highly ambitious team.

LOSS - Wisla - Jagiellonia - 1 : 1

Monday, August 5, 2013

Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion - 2 - 3.00 - 4/10 - Betclic

Olimpia Asuncion is the biggest team in Paraguay with 39 League Titles and 3 Copa Libertadores. Now they are playing Black and White derby against Libertad and the odds are movement down for their win in all of the sites except Betclic. There is a huge value in this odd and a possible arbitrage if you have more accounts. Olimpia were so close to win their 4-th Copa Libertadores but desperately loss from Mineiro in penalties. This was the reason for the bad second half of last season. Olimpia are 7 matches in a row without a lose against Gumarelo.

LOSS - Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion - 1 : 0

I am back from holiday and will start with my tips soon. Good Luck